Correlated Failures: The Budget Blow-Up That Grid Planners Miss
Your resilience budget assumes failures are random. They're not. One tree falls on a feeder — fine, you replace it. But when a hurricane takes out twe...
11 articles in this category
Your resilience budget assumes failures are random. They're not. One tree falls on a feeder — fine, you replace it. But when a hurricane takes out twe...
You've built a cost model. It's beautiful. Every line item ties out, every escalation factor has a footnote, and your Monte Carlo simulation runs fast...
You open your resilience model and see a list of storms. Each one sits in its own row, like a stack of unrelated snapshots. The model assumes they hit...
Here's a number that should bother you: in 2021, the Texas freeze caused over $195 billion in damages. Peak load that day? Not the problem. The proble...
You've got a substation that floods every three years. Or a transmission line that snaps in high winds. The utility board wants 'resilience'—but the b...
Here's the thing: when utility planners run resilience cost models, they almost always lean on historical averages. A 1-in-50 year ice storm? That's a...
Picture this: a utility spends $2 billion on a peaker plant to shave the top 100 hours of summer orders. That plant runs maybe 200 hours a year. Meanw...
When a major storm knocks out power for days, the cry goes up: "Bury the lines!" It sounds plain. Underground cables are protected from wind...
After the 2021 Texas freeze, one utility spent $400 million on wide-area insulation. Two years later, a single substation failure still knocked out po...
Grid resilience costion is hard enough with one storm. But what happens when two event hit in the same week — or even the same day? Most model assume ...
Here is a scene I have seen three times in two years. A utility resilience manager walks into a briefing room—tired, maybe still in Carhartts from the...